Atlas host Monterrey in the Liga MX on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlas's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Santos Laguna 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Monterrey's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Necaxa 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Monterrey arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Atlas 0–0 Monterrey.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Atlas and 1.5 for Monterrey. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas 37%, draw 24%, Monterrey 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Atlas 1–1 Monterrey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas37%fair 2.70 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Monterrey39%fair 2.58 · @2.72
3.03Expected goals
1.49Atlas xG
1.53Monterrey xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.5 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Atlas vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Atlas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monterrey 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Monterrey?
Atlas vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
