Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.30 – our chance 40% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗40% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana preview and prediction
The match
Club Tijuana travel to Alfonso Lastras Ramirez in the Liga MX on Saturday 1 August (04:00 WAT) to face Atletico San Luis. Atletico San Luis are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Club Tijuana sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico San Luis's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Tigres UANL 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Tijuana's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Leon 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Club Tijuana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Atletico San Luis and 1.6 for Club Tijuana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Club Tijuana to win at 3.30 – 40% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club Tijuana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico San Luis37%fair 2.67 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Club Tijuana40%fair 2.53 · @3.30
3.10Expected goals
1.53Atletico San Luis xG
1.57Club Tijuana xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.5 – 1.6 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Tijuana to win✗
40%
2.53
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Atletico San Luis – last 6
DLWWWL
26 Jul
@ Tigres UANL
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
10 Jul
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
7 Jul
vs Sporting San Jose
4–0
W
1 Jul
@ Atlas
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ FC Juarez
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 6
WWWDWD
25 Jul
vs Leon
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ San Jose Earthquakes
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Pachuca
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Tijuana 40%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.