Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and prediction
The match
Guadalajara Chivas travel to Estadio Cuauhtemoc in the Liga MX on Saturday 1 August (02:00 WAT) to face Puebla. Puebla are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Puebla's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Cruz Azul 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat FC Juarez 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Puebla and 1.8 for Guadalajara Chivas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Puebla 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla13%fair 7.72 · @5.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.30
Guadalajara Chivas66%fair 1.52 · @1.54
2.39Expected goals
0.62Puebla xG
1.77Guadalajara Chivas xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Puebla 0.6 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Puebla have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadalajara Chivas 66%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Puebla 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
