U.N.A.M. - Pumas travel to Estadio Nemesio Diez in the Liga MX on Wednesday 22 July (04:05 WAT) to face Toluca. Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Toluca's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to CF Pachuca 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–3 Toluca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Toluca and 0.9 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toluca 2–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca61%fair 1.63 · @1.58
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas19%fair 5.40 · @5.25
2.76Expected goals
1.87Toluca xG
0.89U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Toluca 1.9 – 0.9 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Toluca have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 19%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
