Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Cruz Azul vs Puebla preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul host Puebla in the Liga MX on Wednesday 22 July, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banorte. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Puebla sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Atletico San Luis 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Puebla's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat FC Juarez 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Cruz Azul and 0.9 for Puebla. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul 66%, draw 19%, Puebla 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–0 Puebla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.00
Puebla15%fair 6.52 · @7.40
3.09Expected goals
2.16Cruz Azul xG
0.93Puebla xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 0.9 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Cruz Azul – last 6
WDWDWD
18 Jul
@ Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Monarcas
3–3
D
25 May
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–1
W
22 May
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–0
D
17 May
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
14 May
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
WWLWLL
18 Jul
@ FC Juarez
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ Atlas
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ CF Pachuca
1–3
L
1 Jul
vs Tlaxcala
3–1
W
25 Apr
vs Club Queretaro
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Monterrey
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Puebla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Puebla 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Cruz Azul vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
