Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.92 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.60
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees U.N.A.M. - Pumas take on CF Pachuca on Sunday 19 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while CF Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to America de Cali 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CF Pachuca's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Puebla 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CF Pachuca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 CF Pachuca. Across their last 3 meetings U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 2, CF Pachuca 1, with 0 draws and 1.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.4 for CF Pachuca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: CF Pachuca to win at 2.92 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
CF Pachuca38%fair 2.60 · @2.92
2.78Expected goals
1.39U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.39CF Pachuca xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 – 1.4 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Pachuca 38%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
