Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Plaza Colonia travel to face Paysandu in the Segunda División on Sunday 14 June (22:00 WAT). Paysandu are 6th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat La Luz 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Plaza Colonia's last 4: DLWD Most recently they drew with Sportivo Huracan 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Plaza Colonia 1–1 Paysandu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Paysandu and 1.5 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paysandu 18%, draw 21%, Plaza Colonia 61%.
Safer route: Plaza Colonia or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Plaza Colonia or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Paysandu 0–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu18%fair 5.51 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.14Expected goals
0.63Paysandu xG
1.50Plaza Colonia xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Paysandu 0.6 – 1.5 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plaza Colonia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 0–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
