Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Luz to win ✗37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Atenas vs La Luz preview and prediction
The match
La Luz travel to face Atenas in the Segunda División on Sunday 14 June (19:00 WAT). Atenas are 1st with 44 points from 25 games (top of the table), while La Luz sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Cerrito 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
La Luz's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Paysandu 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Atenas and 1.1 for La Luz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 37%, draw 26%, La Luz 37%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Atenas 1–1 La Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
La Luz37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
2.16Expected goals
1.08Atenas xG
1.09La Luz xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.1 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Luz to win✗
37%
2.68
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Atenas – last 6
LWLWLW
7 Jun
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
31 May
@ CA River Plate
2–0
W
17 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
9 May
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Fenix
1–4
L
18 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 6
LDWDDD
6 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
31 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
24 May
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–0
W
18 May
@ Oriental
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Cerrito
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and La Luz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atenas vs La Luz?
On our numbers Atenas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and La Luz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs La Luz?
Atenas vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
