Serie A · Italy · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli

LLWDW

1–1

Lazio

WWWWW

Napoli vs Lazio prediction & analysis

65%

Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLazio to win ✗41% · @2.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Win chances

Napoli37%fair 2.73 · @2.25

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.70

Lazio41%fair 2.43 · @2.90

3.07Expected goals

1.48Napoli xG

1.59Lazio xG

65%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Napoli 1.5 – 1.6 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Napoli and Lazio on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Napoli have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Lazio have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. Lazio come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Napoli, 1.6 for Lazio). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Lazio to win at 2.90 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lazio to win ✗	41%	2.43	2.90 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.29	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.53	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.57
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.56	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lazio / FT Lazio ✗	24%	4.18	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.54	–

Form

Napoli – last 6

LLWDWL

4 Nov	@ FC Porto	1–4	L
1 Nov	@ Juventus	0–2	L
28 Oct	@ Monza	4–1	W
24 Oct	vs AS Roma	3–3	D
20 Oct	vs BodoGlimt	4–3	W
17 Oct	@ Venezia	0–1	L

2.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Lazio – last 6

WWWWWD

1 Nov	vs Cagliari	2–1	W
27 Oct	@ Sassuolo	6–2	W
24 Oct	vs Parma	2–1	W
18 Oct	@ Juventus	3–0	W
11 Oct	vs Monza	3–1	W
3 Oct	vs Juve Stabia	3–3	D

3.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Lazio.

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5

More Serie A predictions

League hub →

Genoa1

AC Milan2 142462 X2AC Milan or draw 86%@1.22 ✓ FT

Monza0

Atalanta1 221364 2Atalanta to win 64%@1.95 ✓ FT

Inter2

Como0 491932 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✗ FT

Fiorentina2

Juventus2 342244 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Lazio?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Napoli vs Lazio?

On our numbers Napoli have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lazio 41%.

How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Lazio?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

When is Napoli vs Lazio?

Napoli vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.