Serie A · Italy · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina

WDLLL

2–2

Juventus

WWLWD

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction & analysis

77%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Value bet: Fiorentina to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultJuventus to win ✗44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Win chances

Fiorentina34%fair 2.91 · @3.30

Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30

Juventus44%fair 2.30 · @2.20

2.92Expected goals

1.36Fiorentina xG

1.56Juventus xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.4 – 1.6 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Juventus shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Fiorentina.

Fiorentina have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Juventus have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Juventus come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Fiorentina, 1.6 for Juventus). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Fiorentina have won 1, Juventus have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Fiorentina to win at 3.30 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Juventus to win ✗	44%	2.30	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	1.40
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗	25%	3.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.19	–

Form

Fiorentina – last 6

WDLLLD

2 Nov	@ Sassuolo	4–2	W
29 Oct	vs Atalanta	2–2	D
25 Oct	@ Inter	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs Como	1–3	L
10 Oct	@ Genoa	1–2	L
20 Sep	vs Napoli	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Juventus – last 6

WWLWDL

5 Nov	@ AZ Alkmaar	2–1	W
1 Nov	vs Napoli	2–0	W
28 Oct	@ Genoa	0–2	L
25 Oct	@ Lecce	2–0	W
22 Oct	vs Rennes	2–2	D
18 Oct	vs Lazio	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026

Juventus v Fiorentina

0–2

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5

More Serie A predictions

League hub →

Napoli1

Lazio1 372241 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✓ FT

Genoa1

AC Milan2 142462 X2AC Milan or draw 86%@1.22 ✓ FT

Monza0

Atalanta1 221364 2Atalanta to win 64%@1.95 ✓ FT

Inter2

Como0 491932 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

On our numbers Fiorentina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventus 44%.

How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Juventus?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Fiorentina vs Juventus (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.