Serie A · Italy
Monza
Atalanta
Monza vs Atalanta prediction & analysis
Atalanta to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Monza 1.2 – 2.3 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atalanta travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 22% for Monza.
Monza have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Atalanta have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for Monza, 2.3 for Atalanta). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Atalanta to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atalanta to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | Atalanta ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.55 | – |
Form
Monza – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Bologna | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Napoli | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Torino | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Cagliari | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lazio | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Stade Brestois 29 | 2–2 | D |
Atalanta – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Kairat Almaty | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Nov | vs Parma | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Fiorentina | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Frosinone | 4–4 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Ajax | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ AC Milan | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Atalanta.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hub →Napoli1
Lazio1
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.50
✓
FT
Genoa1
AC Milan2
X2AC Milan or draw
86%@1.22
✓
FT
Inter2
Como0
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.53
✗
FT
Fiorentina2
Juventus2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Monza vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Monza have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Atalanta 64%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Monza vs Atalanta?
Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.