Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win ✓51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Sassuolo vs Lazio preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Sassuolo take on Lazio on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore. Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lazio sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Como 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Lazio's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Parma 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Lazio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Sassuolo and 1.8 for Lazio. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sassuolo 27%, draw 22%, Lazio 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Lazio to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Lazio51%fair 1.96 · @2.15
3.06Expected goals
1.26Sassuolo xG
1.80Lazio xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.3 – 1.8 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lazio 51%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Sassuolo vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
