Serie A · Italy · Stadio OlimpicoAS Roma vs Cagliari prediction & analysis
AS Roma to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AS Roma 1.8 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AS Roma are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 15% for Cagliari.
AS Roma have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cagliari have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for AS Roma, 0.7 for Cagliari). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is AS Roma to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AS Roma to win ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Double chance | AS Roma or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | AS Roma ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.62 | – |
Form
AS Roma – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Napoli | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Slovan Bratislava | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Genoa | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Real Madrid | 3–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Como | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Inter | 2–2 | D |
Cagliari – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Bologna | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Monza | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Juventus | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Udinese | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Atalanta | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Lecce | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Cagliari.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our pick is AS Roma to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cagliari 15%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.