Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Frosinone vs Lecce preview and prediction
The match
Lecce travel to PSC Arena in the Serie A on Thursday 29 October (18:30 WAT) to face Frosinone. Frosinone are 6th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Lecce sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atalanta 4–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Lecce's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Juventus 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Frosinone and 1.1 for Lecce. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frosinone 63%, draw 19%, Lecce 17%.
Safer route: Frosinone or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Frosinone or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Frosinone 2–1 Lecce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.00
Lecce17%fair 5.77 · @4.40
3.31Expected goals
2.23Frosinone xG
1.08Lecce xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Frosinone 2.2 – 1.1 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
DWLWWD
25 Oct
@ Atalanta
4–4
D
16 Oct
vs Sassuolo
4–2
W
10 Oct
@ Napoli
0–3
L
2 Oct
vs Benevento
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Como
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genoa
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
LWLLWL
25 Oct
vs Juventus
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Udinese
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Bologna
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ AC Milan
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Monza
3–2
W
7 Sep
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Lecce.
Our pick is Frosinone or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lecce 17%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Lecce?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 2–1 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Lecce?
Frosinone vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at PSC Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
