Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Fiorentina vs Atalanta preview and prediction
The match
Atalanta travel to Stadio Artemio Franchi in the Serie A on Thursday 29 October (20:45 WAT) to face Fiorentina. Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Atalanta sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fiorentina's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Inter 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atalanta's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Frosinone 4–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Fiorentina and 1.7 for Atalanta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina42%fair 2.41 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Atalanta36%fair 2.79 · @2.90
3.56Expected goals
1.85Fiorentina xG
1.71Atalanta xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.9 – 1.7 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atalanta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
