Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapoli to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Venezia vs Napoli preview and prediction
The match
Napoli travel to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in the Serie A on Saturday 17 October (14:00 WAT) to face Venezia. Venezia are 19th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Napoli sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Venezia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Atalanta 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Napoli's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Napoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Venezia and 2.2 for Napoli. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venezia 11%, draw 22%, Napoli 67%.
Safer route: Napoli or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Napoli to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Venezia 0–2 Napoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venezia11%fair 9.07 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Napoli67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
0.85Venezia xG
2.23Napoli xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Venezia 0.9 – 2.2 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✗
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Napoli or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Venezia – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Napoli – last 6
LWDWLL
13 Oct
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Frosinone
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Bologna
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Inter
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Napoli.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?
On our numbers Venezia have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Napoli 67%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Napoli?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Napoli?
Our predicted score is Venezia 0–2 Napoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Napoli?
Venezia vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
