Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Roma to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.63
AS Roma vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
AS Roma host Genoa in the Serie A on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Olimpico. AS Roma are 3rd with 27 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Genoa sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AS Roma's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Real Madrid 3–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Genoa's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Fiorentina 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 AS Roma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for AS Roma and 0.7 for Genoa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Roma 68%, draw 20%, Genoa 12%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AS Roma to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AS Roma 2–0 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Roma68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
Genoa12%fair 8.14 · @5.80
2.75Expected goals
2.02AS Roma xG
0.73Genoa xG
45%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: AS Roma 2.0 – 0.7 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AS Roma to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Genoa 12%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 2–0 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Genoa?
AS Roma vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
