Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLazio to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Lazio vs Monza preview and prediction
The match
Monza travel to Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT) to face Lazio. Lazio are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Monza sit 18th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lazio's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monza's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lazio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Lazio and 1.0 for Monza. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lazio 63%, draw 19%, Monza 19%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lazio to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Lazio 2–1 Monza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lazio63%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.75
Monza19%fair 5.32 · @5.00
3.10Expected goals
2.08Lazio xG
1.02Monza xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.1 – 1.0 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
63%
1.60
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Lazio – last 6
DWDWWW
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Venezia
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Udinese
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Genoa
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Bologna
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
DWLDWL
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Monza.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lazio vs Monza?
On our numbers Lazio have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Monza 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Monza?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
