Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapoli to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.27
Napoli vs Bologna preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Napoli take on Bologna on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Bologna sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Napoli's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Bologna's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Sassuolo 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Napoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Napoli 2–3 Bologna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Napoli and 0.9 for Bologna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 57%, draw 22%, Bologna 20%.
Safer route: Napoli or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Napoli or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Napoli 1–0 Bologna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Bologna20%fair 4.90 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.75Napoli xG
0.92Bologna xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.7 – 0.9 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Napoli or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Napoli vs Bologna?
On our numbers Napoli have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bologna 20%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
