Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✗38% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Genoa vs Frosinone preview and prediction
The match
Frosinone travel to Luigi Ferraris in the Serie A on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT) to face Genoa. Genoa are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Frosinone sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Genoa's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Como 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Frosinone's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Venezia 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Genoa and 1.4 for Frosinone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genoa 37%, draw 24%, Frosinone 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Frosinone to win at 3.40 – 38% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Genoa 1–1 Frosinone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genoa37%fair 2.67 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Frosinone38%fair 2.60 · @3.40
2.83Expected goals
1.40Genoa xG
1.43Frosinone xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.4 – 1.4 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✗
38%
2.60
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Genoa – last 6
LLLWLL
4 Sep
vs Como
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Lazio
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Napoli
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Ascoli
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–10
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WDWLWL
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Frosinone.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Genoa vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Genoa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Frosinone 38%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Genoa 1–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Frosinone?
Genoa vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
