Value bet: Udinese to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Udinese vs Lazio preview and prediction
The match
Lazio travel to Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli in the Serie A on Monday 7 September (19:45 WAT) to face Udinese. Udinese are 20th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Lazio sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Venezia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lazio's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Genoa 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Lazio 3–3 Udinese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Udinese and 1.1 for Lazio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 39%, draw 25%, Lazio 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Udinese to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Udinese 1–1 Lazio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Lazio35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.17Udinese xG
1.08Lazio xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Udinese 1.2 – 1.1 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Udinese vs Lazio?
On our numbers Udinese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lazio 35%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Udinese 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Lazio?
Udinese vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
