Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAS Roma to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Lecce vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lecce take on AS Roma on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Via del Mare. Lecce are 14th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lecce's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Venezia 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Roma's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Fiorentina 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Lecce and 2.0 for AS Roma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecce 11%, draw 23%, AS Roma 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Lecce 0–2 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecce11%fair 8.84 · @7.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
AS Roma66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
2.78Expected goals
0.76Lecce xG
2.03AS Roma xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lecce 0.8 – 2.0 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Lecce – last 6
WLWDLW
23 Aug
@ Venezia
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Palermo
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Istra 1961
2–2
D
22 Jul
vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
0–1
L
24 May
vs Genoa
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WDLWLD
24 Aug
vs Fiorentina
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Brighton
0–3
L
4 Aug
@ Newport County
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
26 Jul
@ Cannes
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lecce vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Lecce have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Roma 66%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Lecce 0–2 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs AS Roma?
Lecce vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Via del Mare.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
