Serie A · Italy · Unipol DomusCagliari vs Inter prediction & analysis
Inter to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cagliari 0.8 – 2.2 Inter expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Inter travel as clear favourites – 69% to win, against 10% for Cagliari.
Cagliari have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.3 per game. Inter have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (0.8 for Cagliari, 2.2 for Inter). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cagliari have won 0, Inter have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Inter to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Inter to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Inter or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Inter ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Inter / FT Inter ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.08 | – |
Form
Cagliari – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Parma | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Arezzo | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Nice | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Union Berlin | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jul | vs Modena | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | @ Sampdoria | 0–0 | D |
Inter – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Monza | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Real Betis | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Juventus | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Aug | @ AC Milan | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Manchester City | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Karlsruher SC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 17 Apr 2026 | Inter v Cagliari | 3–0 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Inter?
Our pick is Inter to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cagliari vs Inter?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inter 69%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Inter?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Cagliari vs Inter?
Cagliari vs Inter (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.