Value bet: Cucuta to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChico to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Chico vs Cucuta preview and prediction
The match
Cucuta travel to Estadio La Independencia in the Primera A on Monday 12 October (00:10 WAT) to face Chico. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Cucuta sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chico's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Deportes Tolima 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cucuta's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Deportivo Pereira 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Chico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Chico and 1.3 for Cucuta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chico 40%, draw 26%, Cucuta 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Cucuta to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Chico 1–1 Cucuta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Cucuta35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.72Expected goals
1.41Chico xG
1.31Cucuta xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chico 1.4 – 1.3 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Chico – last 6
DWLLWW
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Once Caldas
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 6
WWLLDL
4 Oct
vs Deportivo Pereira
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Llaneros
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Deportivo Cali
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Cucuta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Chico vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Chico have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cucuta 35%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Cucuta?
Chico vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
