Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional preview and prediction
The match
Llaneros host Atletico Nacional in the Primera A on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana. Llaneros are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Llaneros's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Internacional de Bogota 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Internacional de Bogota 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Atletico Nacional 2–0 Llaneros.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Llaneros and 1.8 for Atletico Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Llaneros 17%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 60%.
Safer route: Atletico Nacional or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Llaneros 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llaneros17%fair 5.95 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Atletico Nacional60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
2.55Expected goals
0.80Llaneros xG
1.75Atletico Nacional xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Llaneros 0.8 – 1.8 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 60%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
