Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Manuel Murillo ToroDeportes Tolima vs America de Cali prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.3 – 1.1 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportes Tolima hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for America de Cali.
Deportes Tolima have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. America de Cali have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. America de Cali come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Deportes Tolima, 1.1 for America de Cali). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is close to our fair price of 1.93.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportes Tolima to win ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima ✗ | 24% | 4.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.12 | – |
Form
Deportes Tolima – last 6
| 17 Sep | @ Once Caldas | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Santa Fe | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Llaneros | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Cucuta | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Independiente del Valle | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Bucaramanga | 0–0 | D |
America de Cali – last 6
| 15 Sep | vs Deportivo Pasto | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Deportivo Pereira | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Alianza Valledupar | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Jaguares | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Aug | vs Junior | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Santa Fe | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and America de Cali.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More Primera A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and America de Cali 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.