Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Pasto to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Pasto host Llaneros in the Primera A on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 22:05 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Llaneros sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Pasto's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cali 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Llaneros's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Águilas Doradas 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Llaneros arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.7 for Llaneros. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Deportivo Pasto or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Deportivo Pasto to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Pasto or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Llaneros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.00
Llaneros17%fair 5.90 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.68Deportivo Pasto xG
0.72Llaneros xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.7 – 0.7 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
Deportivo Pasto – last 6
LLLWLL
9 Aug
vs Deportivo Cali
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
29 Jul
@ Bogota FC
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Independiente Medellin
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Bogota FC
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 6
DWDWWW
19 Aug
@ Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Fortaleza FC
3–1
W
31 Jul
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
27 May
@ Chico
1–0
W
20 May
vs Patriotas
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Deportivo Pasto or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llaneros 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
