Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Nacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓60% · @1.76
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional preview and prediction
The match
Jaguares host Atletico Nacional in the Primera A on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jaguares's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cali 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Tigres FC 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Atletico Nacional 2–1 Jaguares.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Jaguares and 1.8 for Atletico Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jaguares 20%, draw 20%, Atletico Nacional 60%.
Safer route: Atletico Nacional or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jaguares 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares20%fair 5.06 · @4.45
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Atletico Nacional60%fair 1.67 · @1.76
2.71Expected goals
0.90Jaguares xG
1.80Atletico Nacional xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.9 – 1.8 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Nacional 60%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional?
Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
