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Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
1–2
FT

Leones FC vs Orsomarso prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeones FC to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15

Leones FC vs Orsomarso preview and prediction

The match

The Primera B sees Leones FC take on Orsomarso on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Leones FC's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Real Santander 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Orsomarso's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Bogota FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Leones FC 2–0 Orsomarso.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Leones FC and 1.0 for Orsomarso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–1 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Leones FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.88
Orsomarso36%fair 2.77 · @2.60
1.98Expected goals
1.01Leones FC xG
0.97Orsomarso xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.0 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeones FC to win ✗38%2.602.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.15–

Form

Leones FC – last 6

LWDDLL
19 Oct@ Real Santander0–1L
15 Octvs Patriotas1–0W
11 Oct@ Union Magdalena2–2D
7 Octvs Barranquilla1–1D
28 Sep@ Internacional Palmira0–1L
19 Sepvs Popayan1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orsomarso – last 6

LDWLDL
19 Octvs Bogota FC0–1L
16 Oct@ Internacional Palmira1–1D
12 Octvs Popayan1–0W
6 Octvs Quindio0–1L
1 Oct@ Envigado0–0D
28 Sep@ Ind. Yumbo3–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Leones FC v Orsomarso2–0
Leones FC vs Orsomarso head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

On our numbers Leones FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 36%.

How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

Leones FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.