Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Bogota FC vs Real Santander preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Bogota FC take on Real Santander on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Real Santander sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Orsomarso 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Santander's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Leones FC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Bogota FC and 0.5 for Real Santander. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 62%, draw 23%, Real Santander 15%.
Safer route: Bogota FC or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bogota FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–0 Real Santander. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Real Santander15%fair 6.73 · @3.40
2.05Expected goals
1.50Bogota FC xG
0.55Real Santander xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.5 – 0.5 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bogota FC or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
Bogota FC – last 6
WDDDLW
19 Oct
@ Orsomarso
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Oct
vs Envigado
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Quindio
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Barranquilla
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Santander – last 6
WDWLDD
19 Oct
vs Leones FC
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Envigado
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Tigres FC
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Real Santander.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Bogota FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Santander 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Bogota FC vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
