Real Santander vs Leones FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Santander take on Leones FC on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Villa Concha. Real Santander are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Leones FC sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Real Santander's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Envigado 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones FC's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Patriotas 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Real Santander and 0.8 for Leones FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Santander 56%, draw 21%, Leones FC 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Santander to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Santander 1–0 Leones FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Santander56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.10
Leones FC23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
2.29Expected goals
1.48Real Santander xG
0.81Leones FC xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.5 – 0.8 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Santander / FT Real Santander✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.66
–
Form
Real Santander – last 6
DWLDDL
15 Oct
@ Envigado
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Tigres FC
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Popayan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 6
WDDLLD
15 Oct
vs Patriotas
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Union Magdalena
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Barranquilla
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Internacional Palmira
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Popayan
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Envigado
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Real Santander to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Real Santander vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Real Santander vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
