Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Orsomarso vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC travel to Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata in the Primera B on Monday 19 October (23:00 WAT) to face Orsomarso. Orsomarso are 13th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orsomarso's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Internacional Palmira 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bogota FC's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Real Cundinamarca 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Bogota FC 2–0 Orsomarso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Orsomarso and 0.8 for Bogota FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orsomarso 43%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Orsomarso 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orsomarso43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Bogota FC33%fair 3.05 · @3.40
1.84Expected goals
1.02Orsomarso xG
0.82Bogota FC xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.0 – 0.8 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Orsomarso vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
