Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo preview and prediction
The match
Union Magdalena host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Ind. Yumbo sit 4th on 2 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Leones FC 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ind. Yumbo's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Tigres FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 March 2026, finished Ind. Yumbo 0–2 Union Magdalena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Union Magdalena and 1.0 for Ind. Yumbo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 43%, draw 23%, Ind. Yumbo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ind. Yumbo to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Ind. Yumbo34%fair 2.94 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.17Union Magdalena xG
1.00Ind. Yumbo xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.2 – 1.0 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ind. Yumbo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo?
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
