Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnvigado to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Envigado vs Real Santander preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Envigado take on Real Santander on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado are 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Real Santander sit 9th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Envigado's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Internacional Palmira 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Santander's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Real Cundinamarca 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Real Santander 1–3 Envigado.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Envigado and 0.6 for Real Santander. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Envigado 67%, draw 20%, Real Santander 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Envigado to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Envigado 1–0 Real Santander. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Envigado67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.30
Real Santander14%fair 7.38 · @5.00
2.31Expected goals
1.73Envigado xG
0.58Real Santander xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.7 – 0.6 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Envigado to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Envigado vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Envigado have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Santander 14%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Real Santander?
Envigado vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
