Value bet: Barranquilla to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones FC to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Leones FC vs Barranquilla preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Leones FC take on Barranquilla on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Barranquilla sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leones FC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Barranquilla's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Millonarios 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barranquilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 March 2026, finished Barranquilla 3–0 Leones FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Leones FC and 1.2 for Barranquilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones FC 39%, draw 24%, Barranquilla 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Barranquilla to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–1 Barranquilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones FC39%fair 2.59 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Barranquilla37%fair 2.70 · @3.30
2.38Expected goals
1.21Leones FC xG
1.17Barranquilla xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.2 – 1.2 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barranquilla 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Barranquilla?
Leones FC vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
