Real Santander vs Orsomarso preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Real Santander take on Orsomarso on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Villa Concha. Real Santander are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Santander's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Popayan 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Orsomarso's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Depor FC 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Santander arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Real Santander and 1.1 for Orsomarso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Santander 37%, draw 26%, Orsomarso 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Real Santander 1–1 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Santander37%fair 2.68 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Orsomarso37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
2.16Expected goals
1.08Real Santander xG
1.08Orsomarso xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.1 – 1.1 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✗
37%
2.68
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
20%
5.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Real Santander – last 6
LDWWDD
13 Sep
@ Popayan
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Quindio
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Internacional Palmira
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Barranquilla
2–2
D
6 Aug
@ Depor FC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
LLLWDD
14 Sep
vs Depor FC
0–2
L
10 Sep
vs Tigres FC
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Real Cundinamarca
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Patriotas
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Union Magdalena
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Orsomarso 37%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Orsomarso?
Real Santander vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
