Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.41
Real Cartagena vs Envigado preview and prediction
The match
Envigado travel to face Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Tuesday 22 September (01:30 WAT). Real Cartagena are 3rd with 4 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Envigado sit 1st on 7 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Cartagena's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Envigado's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Leones FC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Cartagena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena. Across their last 3 meetings Real Cartagena have won 0, Envigado 1, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Real Cartagena and 0.8 for Envigado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Cartagena 58%, draw 22%, Envigado 20%.
Safer route: Real Cartagena or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Real Cartagena to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Cartagena or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Cartagena 1–0 Envigado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Cartagena58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.00
Envigado20%fair 4.91 · @3.90
2.51Expected goals
1.66Real Cartagena xG
0.85Envigado xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.7 – 0.8 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Our pick is Real Cartagena or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Envigado 20%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Real Cartagena vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
