Value bet: Tigres FC to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres FC to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Tigres FC vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Tigres FC take on Bogota FC on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Tigres FC are 2nd with 5 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigres FC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Orsomarso 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bogota FC's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Ind. Yumbo 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tigres FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Bogota FC 0–1 Tigres FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Tigres FC and 0.8 for Bogota FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres FC 47%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Tigres FC to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tigres FC 1–1 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres FC47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.75
Bogota FC29%fair 3.50 · @3.00
1.88Expected goals
1.12Tigres FC xG
0.76Bogota FC xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tigres FC 1.1 – 0.8 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Tigres FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Tigres FC 1–1 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
Tigres FC vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
