Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceOrsomarso or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Orsomarso vs Depor FC preview and prediction
The match
Orsomarso host Depor FC in the Primera B on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 23:45 (WAT) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. Orsomarso are 13th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Depor FC sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orsomarso's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Depor FC's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Internacional Palmira 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Depor FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Depor FC 1–1 Orsomarso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Orsomarso and 0.6 for Depor FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orsomarso 62%, draw 25%, Depor FC 13%.
Safer route: Orsomarso or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orsomarso to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orsomarso 1–0 Depor FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orsomarso62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Depor FC13%fair 7.59 · @4.40
2.14Expected goals
1.57Orsomarso xG
0.57Depor FC xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.6 – 0.6 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Orsomarso to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Depor FC?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Depor FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Depor FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Depor FC?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Depor FC?
Orsomarso vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
