Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Envigado to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnvigado to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Quindio vs Envigado preview and prediction
The match
Quindio host Envigado in the Primera B on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Quindio are 1st with 6 points from 3 games (top of the table), while Envigado sit 1st on 7 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Quindio's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Internacional Palmira 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Envigado's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Envigado 1–0 Quindio. Across their last 3 meetings Quindio have won 2, Envigado 1, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Quindio and 1.1 for Envigado. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Quindio 34%, draw 26%, Envigado 40%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Envigado to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Quindio 0–1 Envigado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quindio34%fair 2.94 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Envigado40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.07Expected goals
0.98Quindio xG
1.10Envigado xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.0 – 1.1 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Quindio vs Envigado?
On our numbers Quindio have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Envigado 40%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Quindio 0–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Envigado?
Quindio vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
