Union Magdalena vs Leones FC prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Union Magdalena to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Union Magdalena vs Leones FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union Magdalena take on Leones FC on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Leones FC sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Popayan 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Leones FC's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Barranquilla 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Union Magdalena and 0.6 for Leones FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 66%, draw 21%, Leones FC 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Magdalena to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Leones FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Leones FC13%fair 7.55 · @6.50
2.29Expected goals
1.71Union Magdalena xG
0.58Leones FC xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.6 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Union Magdalena ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Union Magdalena – last 6
DWDDWL
7 Oct
@ Popayan
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Real Santander
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Patriotas
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 6
DLLDLL
7 Oct
vs Barranquilla
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Internacional Palmira
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Popayan
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Envigado
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Depor FC
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leones FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Leones FC?
Union Magdalena vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
