Value bet: Internacional Palmira to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnvigado to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira preview and prediction
The match
Envigado host Internacional Palmira in the Primera B on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado are 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Internacional Palmira sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Envigado's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Bogota FC 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Internacional Palmira's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Internacional Palmira 0–0 Envigado. Across their last 2 meetings Envigado have won 0, Internacional Palmira 0, with 2 draws and 0.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Envigado and 1.0 for Internacional Palmira. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Envigado 40%, draw 26%, Internacional Palmira 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Internacional Palmira to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Envigado40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Internacional Palmira34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.16Envigado xG
1.04Internacional Palmira xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.2 – 1.0 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
On our numbers Envigado have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Internacional Palmira 34%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Internacional Palmira?
Envigado vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
