Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Leones FC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres FC to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Tigres FC vs Leones FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Tigres FC take on Leones FC on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Tigres FC are 2nd with 5 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Leones FC sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tigres FC's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones FC's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Independiente Medellin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Tigres FC and 0.9 for Leones FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres FC 46%, draw 23%, Leones FC 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Leones FC to win at 3.70 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Tigres FC 1–0 Leones FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres FC46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Leones FC31%fair 3.23 · @3.70
2.14Expected goals
1.21Tigres FC xG
0.92Leones FC xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tigres FC 1.2 – 0.9 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres FC to win✗
46%
2.19
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres FC / FT Tigres FC✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Tigres FC – last 6
LDLLLW
21 Jul
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
19 May
@ Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
14 May
vs Envigado
1–2
L
5 May
@ Quindio
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Envigado
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Internacional Palmira
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 6
DWLLLL
30 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
12 May
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
8 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–4
L
1 Apr
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Barranquilla
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres FC and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Tigres FC vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Tigres FC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones FC 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres FC vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres FC vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Tigres FC 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tigres FC vs Leones FC?
Tigres FC vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
