Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC host Union Magdalena in the Primera B on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Pasto 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Union Magdalena's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Bogota FC 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Magdalena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Union Magdalena 0–0 Bogota FC. Across their last 2 meetings Bogota FC have won 0, Union Magdalena 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.8 for Bogota FC and 1.5 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 22%, draw 21%, Union Magdalena 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Union Magdalena to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC22%fair 4.46 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Union Magdalena57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
2.34Expected goals
0.81Bogota FC xG
1.53Union Magdalena xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 0.8 – 1.5 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Magdalena 57%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
