Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Grau to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceAtletico Grau or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Atletico Grau vs ADT preview and prediction
The match
ADT travel to Ambrosio Maco Arroyo in the Primera División on Friday 23 October (21:15 WAT) to face Atletico Grau. Atletico Grau are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while ADT sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atletico Grau's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Alianza Lima 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
ADT's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atletico Grau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Atletico Grau and 0.6 for ADT. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Grau to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Grau65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
ADT15%fair 6.66 · @5.00
2.33Expected goals
1.70Atletico Grau xG
0.63ADT xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.7 – 0.6 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win✗
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Atletico Grau ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.04
–
Form
Atletico Grau – last 6
LDLWLW
18 Oct
@ Alianza Lima
1–3
L
8 Oct
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Sporting Cristal
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Alianza Atletico
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
2–4
L
1 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ADT – last 6
LDLLWL
16 Oct
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs FC Cajamarca
0–0
D
1 Oct
@ Sporting Cristal
0–5
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Cristal
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and ADT.
Our pick is Atletico Grau to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ADT 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs ADT?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs ADT?
Atletico Grau vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
