Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.57
UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar preview and prediction
The match
FBC Melgar travel to Estadio Heroes de San Ramon in the Primera División on Friday 23 October (19:00 WAT) to face UTC Cajamarca. UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while FBC Melgar sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UTC Cajamarca's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cienciano 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FBC Melgar's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FBC Melgar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 May 2026, finished FBC Melgar 2–0 UTC Cajamarca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.9 for FBC Melgar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 21%, draw 19%, FBC Melgar 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca21%fair 4.73 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.90
FBC Melgar60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
2.90Expected goals
1.00UTC Cajamarca xG
1.90FBC Melgar xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.0 – 1.9 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FBC Melgar 60%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
