Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Sport Boys host Alianza Atletico in the Primera División on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Miguel Grau. Sport Boys are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Alianza Atletico sit 7th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sport Boys's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Alianza Atletico 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Sport Boys 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 October 2026, finished Alianza Atletico 3–0 Sport Boys. Across their last 2 meetings Sport Boys have won 1, Alianza Atletico 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Sport Boys and 0.9 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Boys 56%, draw 21%, Alianza Atletico 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sport Boys to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sport Boys 1–0 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Boys56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.25
Alianza Atletico24%fair 4.24 · @3.75
2.41Expected goals
1.54Sport Boys xG
0.87Alianza Atletico xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.5 – 0.9 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Sport Boys to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Atletico 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico?
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
