Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Comerciantes Unidos or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Comerciantes Unidos to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceComerciantes Unidos or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College preview and prediction
The match
Comerciantes Unidos host Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Comerciantes Unidos are 13th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Juan Pablo II College sit 9th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Comerciantes Unidos's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Alianza Atletico 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Juan Pablo II College's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat UCV Moquegua 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Juan Pablo II College arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Comerciantes Unidos 0–0 Juan Pablo II College.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.0 for Juan Pablo II College. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Comerciantes Unidos 60%, draw 26%, Juan Pablo II College 14%.
Safer route: Comerciantes Unidos or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Comerciantes Unidos to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Comerciantes Unidos or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Comerciantes Unidos 2–0 Juan Pablo II College. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Comerciantes Unidos60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Juan Pablo II College14%fair 6.94 · @3.70
3.09Expected goals
2.09Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.00Juan Pablo II College xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 2.1 – 1.0 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Comerciantes Unidos or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juan Pablo II College 14%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 2–0 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
