Primera División · Peru · Estadio Union TarmaADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction & analysis
ADT to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ADT 2.2 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
ADT are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for FC Cajamarca.
ADT have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.5 per game. FC Cajamarca have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for ADT, 0.9 for FC Cajamarca). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is ADT to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | ADT to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | ADT or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | ADT ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT ADT / FT ADT ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.80 | – |
Form
ADT – last 6
| 1 Oct | @ Sporting Cristal | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Sporting Cristal | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Cienciano | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Alianza Lima | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | @ FBC Melgar | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Sport Huancayo | 1–3 | L |
FC Cajamarca – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Cusco | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Cienciano | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Comerciantes Unidos | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Atletico Grau | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Universitario | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and FC Cajamarca.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is ADT to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers ADT have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cajamarca 11%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
ADT vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.