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Primera División · Peru · Estadio Alberto Gallardo
3–1
FT

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Sporting Cristal to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓72% · @1.36
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction

The match

Sporting Cristal host Atletico Grau in the Primera División on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Sporting Cristal are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Sporting Cristal's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat UCV Moquegua 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.

Atletico Grau's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Alianza Atletico 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Atletico Grau 4–1 Sporting Cristal.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Sporting Cristal and 0.6 for Atletico Grau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sporting Cristal to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sporting Cristal72%fair 1.38 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.60
Atletico Grau10%fair 9.76 · @7.50
2.63Expected goals
2.04Sporting Cristal xG
0.59Atletico Grau xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.0 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓72%1.381.36
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Half-time resultSporting Cristal ahead at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.66–

Form

Sporting Cristal – last 6

WWLWLW
13 Sep@ UCV Moquegua2–1W
6 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas5–0W
30 Aug@ Sport Boys0–1L
26 Augvs Sport Huancayo4–1W
21 Aug@ Alianza Atletico1–3L
16 Augvs Sport Huancayo4–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atletico Grau – last 6

WLWDWW
13 Sepvs Alianza Atletico3–1W
6 Sep@ Deportivo Garcilaso2–4L
1 Sepvs FBC Melgar1–0W
26 Augvs Sport Boys2–2D
21 Aug@ FC Cajamarca3–1W
14 Augvs Comerciantes Unidos1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Atletico Grau v Sporting Cristal4–1
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Cusco3316314-151
6Sporting Cristal3315513+1450
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3381015-1134
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Grau 10%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.